Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000097 0.000109 0.000121 0.000135 0.000151 0.000168 0.000187
2024-10-27 0.000081 0.000096 0.000114 0.000135 0.000160 0.000190 0.000226
2024-11-03 0.000068 0.000085 0.000106 0.000133 0.000166 0.000207 0.000260
2024-11-10 0.000060 0.000079 0.000103 0.000135 0.000177 0.000231 0.000304
2024-11-17 0.000052 0.000072 0.000097 0.000134 0.000183 0.000249 0.000342
2024-11-24 0.000046 0.000067 0.000094 0.000134 0.000191 0.000269 0.000385
2024-12-01 0.000041 0.000061 0.000090 0.000132 0.000195 0.000285 0.000424
2024-12-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000086 0.000131 0.000200 0.000302 0.000464
2024-12-15 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000131 0.000206 0.000321 0.000509
2024-12-22 0.000031 0.000050 0.000081 0.000131 0.000213 0.000340 0.000556
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000048 0.000079 0.000131 0.000219 0.000360 0.000605
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000076 0.000130 0.000222 0.000374 0.000646
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000074 0.000130 0.000229 0.000397 0.000704
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000041 0.000072 0.000131 0.000237 0.000421 0.000767
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000038 0.000070 0.000129 0.000240 0.000437 0.000817
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000037 0.000069 0.000132 0.000250 0.000467 0.000896
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000035 0.000067 0.000131 0.000254 0.000486 0.000955
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000131 0.000261 0.000510 0.001026
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000032 0.000063 0.000130 0.000264 0.000527 0.001085
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000030 0.000062 0.000128 0.000268 0.000546 0.001149
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000029 0.000060 0.000128 0.000273 0.000568 0.001221
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000028 0.000059 0.000128 0.000279 0.000593 0.001301
2025-03-23 0.000012 0.000027 0.000058 0.000129 0.000285 0.000618 0.001383